gitfrid / virus4spread

virus4spread virus spread model simulation

virus4spread virus distribution model-simulation

This project was holded, after I was pointed out to following:

None of those three imaginary states (Latency, Infectious, Immunity) describe in any manner any real physical/biological system.
Contagions doesn't work that way (like petri dishes reductionism).

For the most part viruses are already ubiquitous at very low prevalence.
All viruses are beneficial at different levels of expression/prevalence. Same as bacteria.
Only when the dynamical system loses its capacity for information transfer, pathogenic viruses proliferate causing harm.
They are important components of the ecosystem that have a necessary biological function, such as building networks for the transmission of information in this system.

Here arises an attempt to test DR Clare Craig's hypothesis about airborne virus contagion -> Book Expired.
To investigate annually recurring waves from the momentum of a chaotic system, and study or play with it's dynamics.
Since the linear sientific SIR model used, seems to differ from reality.

So what is special about this simulation?
Most other simulations already assume the droplet theory, this one does not.

Droplet VS Airborn ‐ Munic City comparison example see Droplet VS Airborn

The recurring waves can possibly be explained by the properties of the coupled system.
Without having to resort to changes to the environment or immune system.

Recurring waves simulation - with parameters from Virus4spread_Sample.xml.
Wait while the simulation loads, then click to start:

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Or download the animated GIF recording here

Screenshot

Installation:

Prerequisite: Microsoft .Net 8 has to be installed first! https://dotnet.microsoft.com/en-us/download

The binary files (about 2 MB) can be compiled with the free Microsoft Visual Studio Community 2022 Edition.
Just download Visual Studio , download virus4spread source, open the Project and click the Bulid Menu.

No Setup needed - it is sufficient if the binary files are copied fom the compiled folder
../Virus4spread/bin/Release/net8.0-windows to any folder, then double click Virus4spread.exe to run the Simulation.
Further information see virus4spread wiki


License:
open source - MIT License

Disclaimer see link: DISCLAIMER!
Just a simulation model, for use out of pure curiosity, not to force people.