The result_simulator from pavanky

result_simulator's Introduction

Torunament result simulator using go

I have created this package to test out Go. It will naively predict the results of a tournament using apriori probabilities. I am trying to make it general enough that it can be used for any torunament / league.

Data format

The required needs to be in a csv format. All necessary files need to be in the same directory.

Contents and format

teams.csv: team_name,division,priority
- if all teams are in same division, use a place holder
- priority values are used for sorting when teams are tied
- An example for priority is the net run rate from cricket
- You can generate this file manually or writing your own program
matches.csv: team_A,team_B,points_A,points_B
- use 'X' for points if the match hasn't been played
- if a match has been played fill in the points earned by the each team
probability.csv:
- Each row is probability of winning against the other teams
- Team order should be the same as the one in teams.csv
playoffs.csv: Match_ID, Division_standing, Division_standing
- Match_ID is a unique token used for the match
- Since teams making the play offs are unknown, provide Division name and their standing

Build and run

I developed this on Linux. It should work without a problem on other OS as well.

Build
- run make to build
- alternatively go build src/simulate.go should work also
Run
- ./simulate path/to/data/directory

Output

Work in progress. Currently displays the predicted results after 100000 runs.

Here is a sample output for IPL 2014 after 35 matches:

Current Standings
Team Name        Matches         Points
KXIP              9              14
CSK               9              14
RR                9              12
KKR               9              8
SRH               8              8
RCB               9              6
MI                8              4
DD                9              4

Team    Pos 1   Pos 2   Pos 3   Pos 4   Pos 5   Pos 6   Pos 7   Pos 8
KXIP    54.60   30.55   11.69   2.95    0.21    0.00    0.00    0.00
CSK     34.92   45.99   14.86   3.77    0.46    0.00    0.00    0.00
RR      9.74    19.71   54.61   13.33   2.21    0.38    0.01    0.00
SRH     0.68    2.96    11.02   34.22   33.74   11.90   4.67    0.81
RCB     0.00    0.02    0.79    5.22    19.29   40.19   24.62   9.87
KKR     0.06    0.74    6.30    37.64   31.80   14.96   6.97    1.54
DD      0.00    0.00    0.01    0.38    3.30    11.58   23.31   61.41
MI      0.00    0.02    0.72    2.49    9.00    20.99   40.42   26.36

result_simulator's People