phupe / covid-19

Coronavirus (COVID-19) time-series and prediction data analysis

Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic time-series of the number of deaths accross the most affected countries.

Forecast of the evolution of the time-series (note that this model is not appropiate to model several waves on the pandemic). Two naive prediction models are available (choose the model to display with the button on the graphs):

• Predict (L): simple a naive growth curve prediction model based on a logictic function. This model tends to underestimate the predicted values.
• Predict (R): simple a naive growth curve prediction model based on a Richards' curve. This model seems to better fit the data but the predicted values may be less reliable when few data are available.

Click here to see the graphics.