GithubHelp home page GithubHelp logo

vmieres / the-gold-standard Goto Github PK

View Code? Open in Web Editor NEW
2.0 4.0 2.0 11.9 MB

This repo is about calculating the buying power of economies based on dividing gold price by minimum wages per countries.

Jupyter Notebook 99.98% Python 0.02%
currencies monetary countries monte-carlo-simulation hvplot minimum-wages csv-files panels pandas-dataframe gold-price

the-gold-standard's Introduction

The Gold Standard

Background

Currency has played a major role in society for thousands of years. Having an established currency was the mark of humanity's first step towards "functioning modern society". Countries all established different currencies, yet all mutually recognized gold as a valuable commodity. To facilitate trading, many countries adopted the gold standard or simply settled traded disputes with gold, since all countries had a common conception of gold's value. Gold's significance in the history of commerce and the maintained international understanding makes it the perfect benchmark to compare the buying power of different currencies. This project aims to draw insights from the buying power of different currencies using gold as the standard to determine each of their value.

Procedures

We gathered the data for the Minimum Hourly-Wages around the world and for the price of 1 troy oz of gold.

From:

https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/social-issues-migration-health/data/oecd-employment-and-labour-market-statistics/average-annual-wages_data-00571-en.

https://www.investing.com/currencies/xau-usd-historical-data

Insights & findings

  • Mexico and Russia have paid the lowest minimum hourly-wages over the years.

  • Australia, Luxemburg, France, Belgium, and Netherlands paid the highest minimum hourly-wages over the years.

  • Korea and the UK have been continuosly increasing the minimum hourly-wage over the years.

  • US has high standard of living, but it is not among the top 5 countreis with the highest minimum hourly-wage.

  • European countries tend to pay higher minimum hourly-wage and South American countries tend to pay lower minimum hourly-wage.

  • Cost of living in each country can be considered for further studies.

Conclusion

  • This project used the gold price in U.S. dollar as currency to analyze the work hours to purchase the same amount (1 troy oz) of gold around the world, as this provides a clearer picture of the global economy. (the inverse of work hours = Purchasing Power)

  • Weak currency is related to more work hours to buy 1 troy oz of gold. (e.g. current (Nov. 14, 2020) 1 Mexico Peso = 0.049 USD ~ 20 times more work hours of US)

  • Gold behaves like a currency, in a sense, so it is sensitive to changes in exchange rates between national fiat currencies and the divergence in monetary policies of the major central banks.

Plots

This graph shows Price of gold from the 2001 up until 2019. We decided to select this date range, so we can have an ample timeframe to observe enough of gold’s price fluctuations throughout different economic climates. As shown, the price of gold increased heavily after the Great Recession in 2008 because people flocked to the safe heaven asset in fears of the dollar losing value.

This graph plots the hourly minimum wage from 2001 through 2019. Each line represents a country’s hourly minimum wage (in USD) at a given time.

With this graph, we visualized the amount of work hours it takes for a person earn enough money in their native currency to buy 1 troy oz of gold. A higher a curve suggests that it would take a larger amount of time to work in order to buy an ounce of gold.

The histogram illustrates the normal distribution of the return of gold investment from our Monte Carlo simulations over the next five years. The distribution is normal and right skewed distribution.

The parallel coordinate chart maps out the minimum hourly-wages over the years from the top 5 countries with the highest minimum hourly-wages. Each line represents the minimum hourly-wage in a given year and illustrates how the minimum wage varies from country to country in that year.

This map displays the location of each country the currencies we included in our project. Each circle proportionally represents how much time it would take to buy an ounce of gold. The bigger a circle is the more hours of work are needed to buy an ounce of gold.

the-gold-standard's People

Contributors

harishkumarchandra avatar larrybc16 avatar promisinghan avatar tamobee avatar vmieres avatar

Stargazers

 avatar  avatar

Watchers

 avatar  avatar  avatar  avatar

Recommend Projects

  • React photo React

    A declarative, efficient, and flexible JavaScript library for building user interfaces.

  • Vue.js photo Vue.js

    🖖 Vue.js is a progressive, incrementally-adoptable JavaScript framework for building UI on the web.

  • Typescript photo Typescript

    TypeScript is a superset of JavaScript that compiles to clean JavaScript output.

  • TensorFlow photo TensorFlow

    An Open Source Machine Learning Framework for Everyone

  • Django photo Django

    The Web framework for perfectionists with deadlines.

  • D3 photo D3

    Bring data to life with SVG, Canvas and HTML. 📊📈🎉

Recommend Topics

  • javascript

    JavaScript (JS) is a lightweight interpreted programming language with first-class functions.

  • web

    Some thing interesting about web. New door for the world.

  • server

    A server is a program made to process requests and deliver data to clients.

  • Machine learning

    Machine learning is a way of modeling and interpreting data that allows a piece of software to respond intelligently.

  • Game

    Some thing interesting about game, make everyone happy.

Recommend Org

  • Facebook photo Facebook

    We are working to build community through open source technology. NB: members must have two-factor auth.

  • Microsoft photo Microsoft

    Open source projects and samples from Microsoft.

  • Google photo Google

    Google ❤️ Open Source for everyone.

  • D3 photo D3

    Data-Driven Documents codes.