yhilpisch / py4fi Goto Github PK
View Code? Open in Web Editor NEWPython for Finance (O'Reilly)
Python for Finance (O'Reilly)
Hello,
the formula you have for vega of a call is incorrect. Its not N(d1).
Rolling.std(ddof=1, *args, **kwargs) calculates rolling standard deviation, normalized by N-1 by default. It means, by default, it uses the sample standard deviation function, in which the denominator is a N-1. The denominator can be set to 1 in this case, if std(ddof=251), then N-251=1. I guess the multiplying of math.sqrt(252) here may be a mistake of confusing rolling.std with numpy.std. The default ddof in numpy.std is 0, which means its denominator is a N. In that case, multiplying of math.sqrt(252) can offset the denominator of 252 exactly.
Hi @yhilpisch, the fixed for #4 by setting the first time slice (t=0) to 0 does not correctly fixed the issue. On first look, it appears that it has solved the issue. However, on closer inspection of the equation, I notice that even though setting the first time slice (t=0) to 0, a drift will still be included at time slice resulting in an over-estimation.
The API seems not working. I wonder whether I've got it wrong?
This is URL I get from frombook, but the page is empty
http://hopey.netfonds.no/posdump.php?date=20140922&paper=AAPL.O&csv_format=csv
This is URL I get from IPython. No data, only column name
http://www.netfonds.no/quotes/posdump.php?date=20140922&paper=NKE.N&csv_format=csv
Do anyone figure out the solution ?
Hi @yhilpisch,
Thank you for the great work as an undergraduate student I have learn a lot from your book!
Example 3-4 code which estimates the theoretical value of a European call option via Monte Carlo simulation appears to yield different results from that of bsm_call_value() function in Chapter 3.
Using the analytical formula for the valuation of European call option in BSM model for S0 = 100, K = 105, T = 1.0, r = 0.05 and sigma = 0.2, we arrive at a European call price of 8.02135.
Using the code from example 3-4 which estimates the theoretical value of a European call option via Monte Carlo simulation using the same parameter should yield the same result as that of the analytical formula. However, the results yield by mcs_full_vector_numpy.py appears to be significantly different from that of bsm_call_value().
My suspect is that random.standard_normal((M + 1, I)) should be changed to random.standard_normal((M, I)) such that the calculation converge to the true price.
The creation of the conda enviornment as shown in the readme fails on windows with the last version of conda (conda 4.5.11
).
conda env create -f py4fi_conda.yml
Solving environment: failed
ResolvePackageNotFound:
- ncurses==6.0=hd04f020_2
- requests==2.18.4=py36h4516966_1
- xlsxwriter==1.0.2=py36h3736301_0
- tornado==4.5.2=py36h468dda9_0
- itsdangerous==0.24=py36h49fbb8d_1
- cycler==0.10.0=py36hfc81398_0
- jinja2==2.9.6=py36hde4beb4_1
- gmp==6.1.2=hb37e062_1
- tk==8.6.7=h35a86e2_3
- lzo==2.10=hb6b8854_1
- testpath==0.3.1=py36h625a49b_0
- appnope==0.1.0=py36hf537a9a_0
- setuptools==36.5.0=py36h2134326_0
- cffi==1.10.0=py36h880867e_1
- jupyter==1.0.0=py36h598a6cc_0
- numba==0.35.0=np113py36_6
- pandocfilters==1.4.2=py36h3b0b094_1
- pyqt==5.6.0=py36he5c6137_6
- jupyter_core==4.3.0=py36h93810fe_0
- cryptography==2.0.3=py36h22d4226_1
- expat==2.2.5=hb8e80ba_0
- chardet==3.0.4=py36h96c241c_1
- patsy==0.4.1=py36ha1b3fa5_0
- zeromq==4.2.2=ha360ad0_2
- jedi==0.10.2=py36h6325097_0
- zlib==1.2.11=hf3cbc9b_2
- sqlite==3.20.1=h7e4c145_2
- traitlets==4.3.2=py36h65bd3ce_0
- python==3.6.3=h5ce8c04_4
- mpc==1.0.3=hc455b36_4
- werkzeug==0.12.2=py36h168efa1_0
- matplotlib==2.1.0=py36h5068139_0
- pexpect==4.2.1=py36h3eac828_0
- wheel==0.29.0=py36h3597b6d_1
- html5lib==0.999999999=py36h79312fd_0
- pysocks==1.6.7=py36hfa33cec_1
- libedit==3.1=hb4e282d_0
- jpeg==9b=he5867d9_2
- mpmath==0.19=py36h9185fea_2
- nbconvert==5.3.1=py36h810822e_0
- xlwt==1.2.0=py36h5ad1178_0
- pyzmq==16.0.2=py36h087ffad_2
- fastcache==1.0.2=py36h8606a76_0
- pytz==2017.2=py36h2e7dfbc_1
- pyopenssl==17.2.0=py36h5d7bf08_0
- nbformat==4.4.0=py36h827af21_0
- pcre==8.41=hfb6ab37_1
- gettext==0.19.8.1=h15daf44_3
- libiconv==1.15=hdd342a3_7
- urllib3==1.22=py36h68b9469_0
- certifi==2017.7.27.1=py36hd973bb6_0
- bleach==2.0.0=py36h8fcea71_0
- ipython_genutils==0.2.0=py36h241746c_0
- numexpr==2.6.2=py36h8fc668d_2
- prompt_toolkit==1.0.15=py36haeda067_0
- widgetsnbextension==3.0.2=py36h91f43ea_1
- hdf5==1.10.1=ha036c08_1
- sympy==1.1.1=py36h7f3cf04_0
- qt==5.6.2=h9975529_14
- flask==0.12.2=py36h5658096_0
- ipykernel==4.6.1=py36h3208c25_0
- libffi==3.2.1=h475c297_4
- gmpy2==2.0.8=py36h7ef02cb_1
- freetype==2.8=h12048fb_1
- asn1crypto==0.22.0=py36hb705621_1
- xlrd==1.1.0=py36h336f4a2_1
- intel-openmp==2018.0.0=h68bdfb3_7
- pymc3==3.2=py36h1e7238b_0
- openpyxl==2.4.8=py36he899640_1
- readline==7.0=hc1231fa_4
- pip==9.0.1=py36h1555ced_4
- libgfortran==3.0.1=h93005f0_2
- pycparser==2.18=py36h724b2fc_1
- libgpuarray==0.6.9=0
- python-dateutil==2.6.1=py36h86d2abb_1
- six==1.11.0=py36h0e22d5e_1
- libsodium==1.0.13=hba5e272_2
- numpy==1.13.3=py36h2cdce51_0
- simplegeneric==0.8.1=py36he5b5b09_0
- ptyprocess==0.5.2=py36he6521c3_0
- wcwidth==0.1.7=py36h8c6ec74_0
- ipython==6.1.0=py36hf612aae_1
- bzip2==1.0.6=h649919c_2
- icu==58.2=h4b95b61_1
- qtconsole==4.3.1=py36hd96c0ff_0
- click==6.7=py36hec950be_0
- jupyter_client==5.1.0=py36hf6c435f_0
- libcxx==4.0.1=h579ed51_0
- libpng==1.6.32=h6184301_3
- dbus==1.10.22=h50d9ad6_0
- terminado==0.6=py36h656782e_0
- mako==1.0.7=py36h55379d4_0
- pyparsing==2.2.0=py36hb281f35_0
- pytables==3.4.2=py36hfbd7ab0_2
- et_xmlfile==1.0.1=py36h1315bdc_0
- nose==1.3.7=py36h73fae2b_2
- markupsafe==1.0=py36h3a1e703_1
- tqdm==4.19.4=py36he502594_0
- entrypoints==0.2.3=py36hd81d71f_2
- h5py==2.7.0=py36h6400cee_1
- pandoc==1.19.2.1=ha5e8f32_1
- scikit-learn==0.19.1=py36hffbff8c_0
- decorator==4.1.2=py36h69a1b52_0
- notebook==5.2.1=py36h640abe8_0
- mkl==2018.0.0=h5ef208c_6
- cython==0.26.1=py36hd51f8eb_0
- jupyter_console==5.2.0=py36hccf5b1c_1
- pandas==0.21.0=py36hfed917e_1
- jsonschema==2.6.0=py36hb385e00_0
- mkl-service==1.1.2=py36h7ea6df4_4
- jdcal==1.3=py36h1986823_0
- ipywidgets==7.0.0=py36h24d3910_0
- glib==2.53.6=h33f6a65_2
- ca-certificates==2017.08.26=ha1e5d58_0
- pygments==2.2.0=py36h240cd3f_0
- sip==4.18.1=py36h2824476_2
- xz==5.2.3=h0278029_2
- mpfr==3.1.5=h7fa3772_1
- openssl==1.0.2m=h86d3e6a_1
- webencodings==0.5.1=py36h3b9701d_1
- mistune==0.8.1=py36h638d0ca_0
- pickleshare==0.7.4=py36hf512f8e_0
- scipy==1.0.0=py36h1de22e9_0
- libcxxabi==4.0.1=hebd6815_0
- idna==2.6=py36h8628d0a_1
i'm pretty sure it's a version mismatch - but couldn't figure out a way to fix it
according to an issuei found (ContinuumIO/anaconda-issues#9480 (comment)) exporting via conda env export --no-builds > environment.yml
should help fix the issue.
If I understand it right, the Vega of an option, the derivative of the norm cdf is needed. The notation you used in your book is N'(d_1), with a prime. The calculation in bsm_vega has used:
stats.norm.cdf( )
which doesn't appear to be correct. Shouldn't this be just the norm pdf? ie. exp(-x^2) normalized?
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